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European corporate outlook improves, but earnings forecast to fall

European corporate outlook improves, but earnings forecast to fall

European corporate outlook improves, but earnings forecast to fall 150 150 admin

By Javi West Larrañaga

Feb 12 (Reuters) – The outlook for European corporate health has improved, the latest LSEG I/B/E/S forecasts showed on Thursday, as European blue-chip indices hit highs on the back of a better-than-anticipated earnings season so far.

European companies are expected to report a 1.1% drop in 2025 fourth-quarter earnings, on average, according to LSEG data, a substantial improvement from ‌the 3.1% decrease analysts expected a week ago.

That would be still be the worst earnings performance in the ‍past seven quarters, based on the LSEG data.

OUTLOOK REBOUNDS

Market forecasts for fourth-quarter earnings sharply deteriorated after U.S. President Donald Trump announced plans for a wide array of tariffs on trading partners in February last year.

Expectations for STOXX 600 company earnings worsened from around 11% growth expected before the announcement to a contraction of as much as 4.2% estimated in January.

Despite that, forecasts have slightly rebounded in past weeks, as 60% of companies have posted better-than-expected results so far this season. In a typical quarter, 54% beat analyst estimates, according to LSEG data.

The outlook for revenue, however, deteriorated, and revenues of STOXX 600 companies are now expected to be 3.4% lower than in the same period last year, compared to a forecast of a 3.2% decrease last week.

Better-than-expected results of luxury group Hermes and Ray-Ban maker EssilorLuxottica coupled with positive guidance for 2026 from the world’s largest brewer Anheuser-Busch Inbev and Siemens were helping sentiment in Europe.

(Reporting by Javi West Larrañaga; Editing by Matt Scuffham)

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